Hi ZS, assuming that whether or even otherwise one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on additional scratch ticket, you treat each event as a separate event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. So then the probabilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets when (if it is precisely what your issue is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately four.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 out of 10 million, which boils down to 1 chance out of 192,307.

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